Harness-Delta Attribution: Dissecting Gains From Harness Evolution

Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence

[Submitted on 15 Oct 2026]

Title:Harness-Delta Attribution: Dissecting Gains From Harness Evolution

View PDF HTML (experimental)Abstract:Harness evolution automatically optimizes the prompts, skills, tools, and orchestration code around a fixed-weight model, offering a way to improve agentic systems without updating model weights. The agent harness is iteratively optimized to achieve higher performance on the search set. But how much of this gain reflects benchmark-specific overfitting or additional inference-time compute, and how much may generalize beyond the search set? In this work, we introduce Harness-Delta Attribution (HDA), an evaluation protocol that dissects an evolution gain into artifact-driven overfitting, gains explained by test-time scaling, and the remainder, which gives an upper bound on residual generalizable improvement. We apply HDA to 11 executor models and three harness-evolution frameworks across math, coding, creativity, and agentic tasks. In 21 of these settings that show statistically significant search-set gains, we find that a large share of the improvement is explained by overfitting or test-time scaling. Specifically, among these 21 settings, overfitting and test-time scaling account for 54% and 14% of the gain on average; their combined share exceeds 50% in 14 settings. The residual and held-out transfer vary substantially across tasks, models, and frameworks. Importantly, search-set gains often fail to transfer to held-out tasks, and provide limited evidence that they will persist under practical distribution shifts. Moreover, validation-based signals are insufficient to prevent overfitting. These results motivate attribution-aware evaluation in future harness evolution research.

Additional Features

References & Citations

Loading...

Bibliographic and Citation Tools

Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?)

Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?)

Litmaps (What is Litmaps?)

scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?)

Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article

alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?)

CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?)

DagsHub (What is DagsHub?)

Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?)

Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?)

ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?)

Demos

Recommenders and Search Tools

Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?)

CORE Recommender (What is CORE?)

arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.